We took some dangers with our FanDuel afternoon lineup yesterday, and so they largely paid off. We snuck above the money line to double-up in our event, and we’re hoping to maintain the momentum occurring a far completely different kind of day by day fantasy baseball slate. Friday options 14 video games, together with a Coors Area matchup that entails a homer-prone Orioles workers and several other bona fide aces on the mound. DraftKings pricing is past tight, and you are going to must hunt for sleepers and make some sacrifices together with your lineup picks.
Our lineup is clearly one for tournaments, as we’re fading all the highest pitchers, as a substitute choosing two high-upside, lower-priced choices. We handle to squeeze in three Coors bats, however the remainder of our lineup appears to be like like leftovers from 2016. Relaxation assured, we did not simply go for “names” — we’ve some stat splits in our favor, and we’re hoping that at the very least just a few of our “boring veterans” are low owned and actual differentiators.
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On an evening like this, there are at all times extra gamers you need than you’ll be able to personal, and to win in a GPP, it’s important to take some possibilities.
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Friday’s FanDuel Lineup Picks
Picks are for a main-slate DraftKings GPP event
Beginning Pitcher: Joey Lucchesi, Padres @ Blue Jays ($eight,900). Lucchesi has disenchanted this season, notably within the strikeout division. However he has lowered his HR price and BB price, in addition to upped his ground-ball price. There’s nonetheless rather a lot to love concerning the 25-year-old lefty, and on Friday night time, you’ll be able to add a extremely favorable matchup to the combo. Toronto ranks 28th in wRC+ in opposition to lefties and strikes out greater than 1 / 4 of the time in opposition to southpaws. It is actually robust to fade guys like Noah Syndergaard, Chris Sale, Blake Snell, and Robbie Ray (amongst others), however Lucchesi gives good financial savings and loads of upside.
Beginning Pitcher: Pablo Lopez, Marlins @ Nationals ($7,500). Lopez’s previous three begins clarify completely why he is a GPP-only play: 7 IP, 1 H, zero ERs, 7 Ks vs. Mets; three IP, 10 Hs, 10 ERs, three Ks @ Mets; 6 IP, three Hs, zero ERs, 6 Ks vs. Braves. His superior stats (three.52 FIP) are significantly better than his normal numbers (5.06 ERA), and all his peripherals portend to success (9.2 Okay/9, 2.four BB/9, zero.94 HR/9). The Nationals rank 25th in wRC+ vs. righties, hanging out over 1 / 4 of the time, and are throwing Kyle McGowin, who figures to surrender his share of runs. Lopez is a superb worth on an evening the place you will seemingly want some wage reduction for bats.
Catcher: Buster Posey, Giants vs. Diamondbacks ($three,400). Posey is a placeholder of types till we see who’s catching for the D-backs, but when we wind up sticking with him, we are able to stay with it. He is historically had success in opposition to lefties (.300/.391/.438 simply final 12 months), although he is struggling in opposition to southpaws this season. That can seemingly begin to normalize quickly, and whereas Robbie Ray is not precisely a “hittable lefty”, we do not want rather a lot from Posey to return worth.
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First Base: Eric Hosmer, Padres @ Blue Jays ($three,900). Hosmer is hitting effectively in opposition to righthanded pitchers this 12 months (.308/.355/.497), and that line is even higher on the street (.338/.361/.544). Blue Jays starter Trent Thornton is permitting a .505 SLG to lefties, and despite the fact that it is a very small pattern, he is been completely crushed by lefties at residence (.451/.487/1.000). All of the numbers line up, and Hosmer will seemingly be neglected regardless of an reasonably priced worth.
Second Base: Chad Pinder, A’s @ Mariners ($three,800). Pinder is a pure splits play, as he is hitting .300/.333/.560 vs. lefties this 12 months. In the meantime, righties have teed off on Wade LeBlanc to the tune of a .344/.400/.668 line. Chances are high, most will not be stacking A’s tonight, nevertheless it’s a very good alternative to take action.
Third Base: Todd Frazier, Mets vs. Tigers ($three,600). Frazier has hit effectively over the previous week and alter, shifting all the way in which as much as third within the batting order. Though he is on the decline, he can nonetheless hit lefties, which he is as soon as once more doing this 12 months (.385/.385/.462 in very restricted at-bats). Tigers southpaw Gregory Soto seemingly will not final lengthy, so we’re hoping Frazier will get him early, however he is nonetheless a good flier who would not determine to have excessive possession.
Shortstop: Trevor Story, Rockies vs. Orioles ($5,600). We at all times take Story at residence in opposition to a lefty. The one time we did not he hit a homer. We discovered our lesson. Finally, we had to decide on between him and Nolan Arenado on the similar worth in opposition to John Means, and Story’s profession .746 SLG at residence vs. lefties is barely a notch under Arenado’s .750 and he has the added bonus of potential stealing a base.
Outfield: Dwight Smith Jr., Orioles @ Rockies ($four,900). Jeff Hoffman really has worse profession splits in opposition to righties, however his residence splits in opposition to lefties additionally stand out (.327/.389/.562). Smith has quite a lot of upside at a comparatively reasonably priced worth for a Coors participant.
Outfield: David Dahl, Rockies vs. Orioles ($four,400). We’re hoping Dahl is underowned due to the matchup in opposition to a lefty. For his profession, he is hitting .304/.353/.519 at residence vs. southpaws — and that is even higher this 12 months (.316/.381/.526) — so we’re not sacrificing something for a “contrarian” play.
Outfield: Stephen Piscotty, A’s @ Mariners ($three,700). Piscotty has much more upside and has crushed lefties much more than Pinder (.373/.411/.627). He is an incredible worth given the matchup in opposition to LeBlanc.